Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Dexter, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

Off the Southeastern United States: A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form over the next day or two, a few hundred miles offshore of North Carolina. Some tropical or subtropical development is possible this weekend while the system moves northeastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, off the east coast of the United States. By early next week, the low is expected to reach colder water and more hostile conditions, ending its chance for tropical or subtropical development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96): A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development in a few days, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$ Forecaster Hagen